Bitcoin is consolidating just below a major resistance level at $106,433, with bullish momentum building. If this level breaks with strong volume, a push toward $127,600 could follow swiftly.
Despite giving up all of its gains made over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin (BTC) remains within striking distance of its all-time high, showing strong signs of a bullish continuation. After months of climbing through higher highs and higher lows, BTC now faces one final technical hurdle at $106,433, a level that has acted as a ceiling for price action since December 2024.
The current structure suggests a potential breakout is forming, but one key ingredient remains: confirmation through volume.
Key technical points,
- Major Resistance: $106,433 – final level before all-time highs
- Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows remain intact
- Target Zone: $127,600 – the long-term channel high
Bitcoin’s current price action continues to sit below $106,433, a resistance level that has consistently capped upward momentum for months. This area coincides with the midpoint of a long-term ascending channel, adding confluence and technical significance to this zone. It’s acting as both a psychological and structural barrier. Price is now compressing below this zone in what appears to be a tightening apex.
This type of setup typically leads to a volatility squeeze. When support and resistance converge around a midpoint channel level, it creates pressure in price action. If the bullish structure, defined by higher highs and higher lows, continues to hold, the probability of a breakout increases. However, no breakout will be confirmed unless it is accompanied by an influx in volume, showing true demand.
Volume has remained steady but not explosive in recent days. This hints that buyers are watching from the sidelines, waiting for clear confirmation. A strong daily or weekly close above $106,433, backed by rising volume, would mark a technical breakout, with the next logical target being the channel high at $127,600.
Until that breakout occurs, price may continue to consolidate within this tightening range. As long as the bullish structure isn’t invalidated by a lower low, the bias remains to the upside. This current consolidation may last several more days or even weeks, but the pressure is building, and technicals suggest a breakout is more likely than a breakdown.
What to expect in the coming price action
If Bitcoin can hold this range and break above $106,433 with volume, it would confirm the next leg of the bull cycle. The next major target sits at $127,600, and a breakout could unfold quickly once resistance gives way.
