Bitcoin is stalling at a major support zone with strong technical confluence. A rare Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is taking shape, potentially targeting $113,000 if the current level holds and symmetry completes.
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a corrective phase over the past few weeks following a strong bullish trend earlier in the quarter. This pullback has now brought price action into a critical high time frame support zone near $104,600, a level that has proven significant on multiple technical fronts. While some may view the consolidation as indecision, it may actually be setting the stage for a highly structured continuation move.
Key technical points
- $104,600 High Time Frame Support: Key level with confluence of the Point of Control, VWAP SR, and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
- Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Structure: All harmonic requirements between legs B and C are being met, with proper Fibonacci alignment.
- Symmetry Confirmed: The pattern maintains proportional symmetry, which is crucial for harmonic setups to remain valid and predictive.
The current structure aligns with a rare but technically rich pattern known as the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. Bitcoin appears to be completing leg C of this setup after trading precisely into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, well within the acceptable range for this harmonic formation. If price holds this zone and initiates a bullish reversal on lower timeframes, it would confirm the completion of leg C and trigger the next leg of the pattern.
What sets this pattern apart is not only the confluence of support but also the mathematical precision behind the harmonic framework. The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern requires specific Fibonacci ratios between each leg, particularly from points B to C and C to D, to remain valid.
In Bitcoin’s case, those criteria are currently being met. Leg C appears to be in its completion phase, aligning with the golden 0.618 ratio and forming a pivot zone from which leg D could now launch.
If the pattern completes as expected, the projected move would bring Bitcoin to approximately $113,000, the target completion zone for leg D of the harmonic. This aligns not only with Fibonacci-based projections but also with broader market structure analysis, offering further confidence in the potential move.
Additionally, harmonic patterns such as the Butterfly often unfold when price undergoes technical retracements within broader bullish trends. Bitcoin has not invalidated its macro bullish structure, and as long as price remains above this confluence support, the bullish case for leg D remains intact.
What to expect in the coming price action
If $104,600 holds and lower timeframe confirmation signals emerge, Bitcoin is likely to initiate the next leg of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. This would target a rally toward $113,000, completing the D leg and concluding the pattern structure. From there, the market will need reassessment, but for now, technicals favor a bullish continuation.
